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Chart Pattern Matching for [GBTC] Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
Data updated 2024-Nov-06 (Wednesday)Chart Pattern Matching analyzes performance history for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust to find similar patterns using a 5-day sliding window for Fast Stochastic compared to the prevailing pattern up to last market close on 2024-Nov-06. Pattern Matching is an AI variation of traditional Technical Chart analysis (where humans interpret Chart patterns looking for certain shapes). Subsequent performances summarized below for top matches
Provided As-is for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice . Past performance may not be not indicative of future results. Always consult your Investment Adviser before any decision
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Outlook
Pattern Matching 5-day Fast Stochastic results for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust are calculated as of 2024-Nov-06 (about 1 month ago):
Next 5-day performance is estimated to be -2.3% using the mean of all subsequent performances (as frequency distribution is near even) of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 10-day performance is estimated to be -4.5% using the mean of all subsequent performances (as frequency distribution is near even) of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 20-day performance is estimated to be -14.6% using the more frequently occurring down subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 50-day performance is estimated to be -23.3% using the more frequently occurring down subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 100-day performance is estimated to be -5.1% using the mean of all subsequent performances (as frequency distribution is near even) of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 200-day performance is estimated to be -54.2% using the more frequently occurring down subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 5-day performance is estimated to be -2.3% using the mean of all subsequent performances (as frequency distribution is near even) of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 10-day performance is estimated to be -4.5% using the mean of all subsequent performances (as frequency distribution is near even) of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 20-day performance is estimated to be -14.6% using the more frequently occurring down subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 50-day performance is estimated to be -23.3% using the more frequently occurring down subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 100-day performance is estimated to be -5.1% using the mean of all subsequent performances (as frequency distribution is near even) of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 200-day performance is estimated to be -54.2% using the more frequently occurring down subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Summary 2024-Nov-06 Wednesday
| Next 5d | Next 10d | Next 20d | Next 50d | Next 100d | Next 200d | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Frequency
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mean
|
-2.3%
|
-4.5%
|
-5.5%
|
-10.7%
|
-5.1%
|
-34.3%
|
|
Median
|
+0.4%
|
-1.7%
|
-7.9%
|
-17.7%
|
-24.2%
|
-36.0%
|
|
Minimum
|
-27.6%
|
-31.9%
|
-28.0%
|
-44.5%
|
-47.3%
|
-74.4%
|
|
Maximum
|
+18.6%
|
+24.0%
|
+39.6%
|
+40.6%
|
+85.2%
|
+9.3%
|
While traditional Chart Analysis looks for specific shapes (e.g. Double Top / Bottom, Cup & Handle, Head & Shoulders, Wedge etc.) and interprets them as being bullish/bearish, Pattern Matching instead looks at the current pattern (whatever that may be) and goes back in time to find similars. Calculation is based on Procrustes Analysis techniques using absolute values as well as overall shape of pattern. Absolute values are not used for Unbounded metrics (like Price), which are normalized
Closest pattern matches for 2024-Nov-06 below. Longer time-frames inherently have lower match scores. Click on date to view historical record or inspect charts side-by-side on historic date vs last close using the compare functionality
| Date | Match Score | Actions | Next 5d | Next 10d | Next 20d | Next 50d | Next 100d | Next 200d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
95.4
|
|
+18.6%
|
+15.7%
|
+26.5%
|
|
|
|
|
|
91.7
|
|
-5.7%
|
+2.4%
|
-9.6%
|
-23.5%
|
-45.2%
|
|
|
|
88.1
|
|
+2.4%
|
+11.1%
|
-5.8%
|
-39.1%
|
-24.2%
|
-37.0%
|
|
|
80.5
|
|
-27.6%
|
-31.9%
|
-28.0%
|
-6.5%
|
+33.5%
|
|
|
|
80.4
|
|
-6.5%
|
-9.5%
|
+15.3%
|
+32.2%
|
+54.2%
|
+2.1%
|
|
|
79.6
|
|
+7.0%
|
-7.0%
|
-13.0%
|
-19.5%
|
-45.2%
|
|
|
|
79.4
|
|
-25.7%
|
-31.3%
|
-27.4%
|
+1.0%
|
+33.1%
|
|
|
|
79.0
|
|
-2.3%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
79.0
|
|
-2.1%
|
-13.7%
|
-23.3%
|
-44.5%
|
-38.7%
|
-74.4%
|
|
|
78.9
|
|
-18.4%
|
-26.0%
|
-24.0%
|
-8.4%
|
+33.8%
|
|
|
|
78.6
|
|
+2.0%
|
+5.1%
|
-4.5%
|
-16.0%
|
-44.3%
|
|
|
|
78.5
|
|
+14.0%
|
+11.5%
|
-1.1%
|
-40.9%
|
-23.9%
|
-35.0%
|
|
|
78.3
|
|
+7.3%
|
-1.4%
|
-2.7%
|
+40.6%
|
+85.2%
|
+9.3%
|
|
|
78.2
|
|
+4.6%
|
+24.0%
|
+23.7%
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.1
|
|
-4.3%
|
-2.0%
|
+39.6%
|
+35.3%
|
|
|
|
|
78.1
|
|
+8.5%
|
+3.5%
|
-12.2%
|
-20.2%
|
-43.8%
|
|
|
|
77.1
|
|
-25.7%
|
-22.0%
|
-24.6%
|
-0.6%
|
+34.4%
|
|
|
|
77.1
|
|
-0.5%
|
-14.5%
|
-22.6%
|
-25.3%
|
-47.3%
|
|
|
|
76.9
|
|
+6.2%
|
+3.9%
|
-6.1%
|
-35.1%
|
-38.7%
|
-70.6%
|
|
|
76.7
|
|
+1.4%
|
|
|
|
|
|
Related to Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
Information for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust
Current Detail : Recent daily/monthly performance & benchmark comparison
Historical Detail : Historical performance & related information using Time Machine
Anomaly Detection : Investigate unusual recent performance & technicals with historical context using AI
Historical Seasonality : Seasonal performance by calendar months
Dividend History : History of Dividend Yield
Technical History : Popular Technical indicator trends (RSI, MACD etc.)
Metric Deciles : Contextualizing recent performance & technical levels into historical decile buckets
Dollar Cost Averaging : Dollar Cost Average (DCA) over time in your portfolio
Moving Averages : Key Simple & Exponential Moving Averages
Historical Analogues : Insights from closest historical matches to recent performance using Artificial Intelligence
Chart Pattern Matching : Insights from similar historical charts to recent chart using Artificial Intelligence Currently Viewing
News Stories : News stories on 2024-Dec-11 on Google
Compare Grayscale Bitcoin Trust with other assets
Market Performance : Recent performance across covered assets
Historical Performance : Prior & Subsequent performance across assets on a historical date
Market Technicals : Technical indicator levels across covered assets
Market Seasonality : Seasonal performance by calendar months across covered assets
Pair Correlations : Performance Correlations with other assets
Beta : Volatility relative to the broad market
Performance Comparison : Visually compare/benchmark performance with other assets over time
Side-by-Side Comparison : Contrast with other assets over time in a side-by-side presentation
