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Historical Analogues for [SPY] SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Data updated 2024-Apr-23 (Tuesday)Historical Analogues searches history for SPDR S&P 500 ETF to find similar situations as compared to last market close on 2024-Apr-23 and presents subsequent performances for those cases. This adaptation of popular Machine Learning technique kNN provides historical context to recent performance
Provided As-is for informational/educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice . Past performance may not be not indicative of future results. Always consult your Investment Adviser before any decision
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Outlook
Historical Analogues for SPDR S&P 500 ETF are calculated as of 2024-Apr-23 (2 days ago):
Next 5-day performance is estimated to be +1.8% using the more frequently occurring up subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bullish
Next 10-day performance is estimated to be +3.0% using the more frequently occurring up subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bullish
Next 20-day performance is estimated to be +4.4% using the more frequently occurring up subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bullish
Next 50-day performance is estimated to be +5.3% using the more frequently occurring up subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bullish
Next 100-day performance is estimated to be +1.4% using the mean of all subsequent performances (as frequency distribution is near even) of close matches. Outlook is mildly bullish
Next 200-day performance is estimated to be -10.9% using the more frequently occurring down subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Next 5-day performance is estimated to be +1.8% using the more frequently occurring up subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bullish
Next 10-day performance is estimated to be +3.0% using the more frequently occurring up subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bullish
Next 20-day performance is estimated to be +4.4% using the more frequently occurring up subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bullish
Next 50-day performance is estimated to be +5.3% using the more frequently occurring up subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bullish
Next 100-day performance is estimated to be +1.4% using the mean of all subsequent performances (as frequency distribution is near even) of close matches. Outlook is mildly bullish
Next 200-day performance is estimated to be -10.9% using the more frequently occurring down subsequent performances of close matches. Outlook is bearish
Summary 2024-Apr-23 Tuesday
| Next 5d | Next 10d | Next 20d | Next 50d | Next 100d | Next 200d | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Frequency
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mean
|
+0.7%
|
+1.9%
|
+4.4%
|
+5.3%
|
+1.4%
|
-4.6%
|
|
Median
|
+1.5%
|
+2.5%
|
+4.5%
|
+5.6%
|
+0.6%
|
-7.8%
|
|
Minimum
|
-3.2%
|
-1.4%
|
+1.0%
|
+0.6%
|
-7.3%
|
-19.1%
|
|
Maximum
|
+4.0%
|
+4.3%
|
+7.0%
|
+9.4%
|
+13.4%
|
+9.7%
|
Similarity is calculated using normalized euclidean distances and factors curated attributes like the days performance, volatility, prior performance over multiple periods and key technical indicators like RSI, MACD etc.
Historical Analogues is primarily a point-in-time view of the state of the Stock/Index/ETF with lookback anchors past performance rather than comparing the exact path taken to get there. Model does NOT consider historical matches on absolute values of Open/High/Low/Close values. There is inherent subjectivity as there are many different ways to calculate similarity, select features for the model etc. Results are provided for informational purposes only.
Historical Analogues is primarily a point-in-time view of the state of the Stock/Index/ETF with lookback anchors past performance rather than comparing the exact path taken to get there. Model does NOT consider historical matches on absolute values of Open/High/Low/Close values. There is inherent subjectivity as there are many different ways to calculate similarity, select features for the model etc. Results are provided for informational purposes only.
Closest historical matches for 2024-Apr-23 below. Click on date to view historical record or inspect stats side-by-side on historic date vs last close using the compare functionality
| Date | Match Score | Actions | Next 5d | Next 10d | Next 20d | Next 50d | Next 100d | Next 200d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
97.3
|
|
+2.6%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.6
|
|
+1.5%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.4
|
|
+1.8%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95.6
|
|
+3.0%
|
+4.2%
|
+5.7%
|
+1.2%
|
+7.1%
|
-14.3%
|
|
|
94.9
|
|
+0.6%
|
+1.8%
|
+4.3%
|
+8.4%
|
+0.4%
|
+9.7%
|
|
|
94.9
|
|
-2.2%
|
-1.4%
|
+2.1%
|
+3.4%
|
+0.6%
|
-14.7%
|
|
|
94.7
|
|
+2.5%
|
+3.6%
|
+4.8%
|
+7.9%
|
-3.4%
|
-7.8%
|
|
|
94.6
|
|
+1.9%
|
+2.9%
|
+1.0%
|
+5.6%
|
+13.4%
|
+7.0%
|
|
|
94.6
|
|
+0.1%
|
+4.0%
|
+6.9%
|
+7.3%
|
-1.1%
|
-9.0%
|
|
|
94.4
|
|
+1.8%
|
+3.5%
|
+7.0%
|
+3.9%
|
-0.5%
|
-8.4%
|
|
|
94.3
|
|
-1.8%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
94.3
|
|
-2.3%
|
-0.3%
|
+3.6%
|
+2.4%
|
+3.6%
|
-4.0%
|
|
|
94.2
|
|
+1.9%
|
+3.6%
|
+5.6%
|
+0.6%
|
+6.6%
|
-19.1%
|
|
|
94.1
|
|
+4.0%
|
+4.3%
|
+6.5%
|
+8.1%
|
-4.3%
|
-5.6%
|
|
|
94.0
|
|
+2.1%
|
+2.4%
|
+5.1%
|
+9.4%
|
+3.1%
|
+9.5%
|
|
|
94.0
|
|
+0.1%
|
+0.2%
|
+4.5%
|
+7.3%
|
-1.1%
|
-12.1%
|
|
|
93.9
|
|
-3.2%
|
-1.0%
|
+2.3%
|
+2.3%
|
+0.7%
|
-14.1%
|
|
|
93.9
|
|
+1.4%
|
+2.5%
|
+4.2%
|
+8.5%
|
-7.3%
|
+9.5%
|
|
|
93.8
|
|
-2.9%
|
-1.2%
|
+2.3%
|
+2.9%
|
+3.4%
|
+3.8%
|
Related to SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Information for SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Current Detail : Recent daily/monthly performance & benchmark comparison
Historical Detail : Historical performance & related information using Time Machine
Anomaly Detection : Investigate unusual recent performance & technicals with historical context using AI
Historical Seasonality : Seasonal performance by calendar months
Dividend History : History of Dividend Yield
Technical History : Popular Technical indicator trends (RSI, MACD etc.)
Metric Deciles : Contextualizing recent performance & technical levels into historical decile buckets
Dollar Cost Averaging : Dollar Cost Average (DCA) over time in your portfolio
Moving Averages : Key Simple & Exponential Moving Averages
Historical Analogues : Insights from closest historical matches to recent performance using Artificial Intelligence Currently Viewing
Chart Pattern Matching : Insights from similar historical charts to recent chart using Artificial Intelligence
News Stories : News stories on 2024-Apr-25 on Google
Compare SPDR S&P 500 ETF with other assets
Market Performance : Recent performance across covered assets
Historical Performance : Prior & Subsequent performance across assets on a historical date
Market Technicals : Technical indicator levels across covered assets
Market Seasonality : Seasonal performance by calendar months across covered assets
Pair Correlations : Performance Correlations with other assets
Beta : Volatility relative to the broad market
Performance Comparison : Visually compare/benchmark performance with other assets over time
Side-by-Side Comparison : Contrast with other assets over time in a side-by-side presentation
